Agenda
8:30 Registration & coffee
9:00 Briefing commences
The iron ore market outlook
- Forecasting future demand and supply of iron ore What are the impacts of the global economic slow down?
- Update on iron ore mining volumes and what extra supply is coming to the market?
- Will new mine expansions lead to over supply?
- Changing dynamics in the global iron ore market
Why develop a price index?
- Assessing the implications of the trends towards greater industry consolidation and pricing power
- A review of industry benefits of a traded financial iron ore market
- Increased price transparency: Spot and forward
- Driven by supply-demand imbalance and the lack of a market clearing price
- The convergence of prices in China to one market clearing price
- Participation of all market players in setting prices
- Ability for producers and consumers to hedge future exposure
- Risk management opportunities for miners, traders and steel companies
- Addressing steelmakers doubts over the usability of a pricing index
- How will it take into account all the different grades and quality of iron ore?
Price index developments in the iron ore market
- How will the annual benchmark negotiation process be impacted by the development on a new pricing index?
- Forming a blueprint for evolvement
- Iron ore The new financial market
- Tracking spot prices and the value of a robust iron ore price index
The index providers - The benchmark contenders and their attributes
- A review of key milestones in the development of the index which have occurred over the past few months
- Derivative market participants - Who are they and what is happening behind the scenes in the iron ore market to bring about convergence?
- A review of the recent announcement of a price index by Metal-Bulletin, Steel Business Briefing and Platts
- Launch of an OTC paper market by Deutsche Bank & Credit Suisse
- Role of leading intermediaries in related coal and freight markets
- Investor support and intermediary interest
Market mechanics
- Liquidity and transparency What are the key components?
- Swaps, options, forward curve implications
- Cross correlation - Steel, coal, and freight derivative synergies
- Contract standards - ISDA master agreements and annex documentation
- Credit - Bilateral or centralised clearing?
- OTC v exchange based trading - Pros and cons?
- Trade execution - Voice, hybrid and electronic execution options
Market data
- Sources and reliability
Networking Function
5.00pm 6.00pm
After an intensive, information-packed day of presentations and discussions, the evening drinks reception provides the perfect opportunity to conclude your day with informal discussions, and start making and renewing acquaintances in a relaxed and friendly environment.
